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With a massive $55 million in his campaign account, Abbott will be able to more than blanket the airwaves, social media and webpages with ads attacking ORourke on these points of weakness, too. What Are His Chances For 2024? RCP Senate Ratings, Map. Following his 2018 reelection, Abbotts job approval rating was clearly net positive (approval rating minus disapproval rating), but recent surveys suggest his standing has worsened to the point that more registered voters in Texas now disapprove of Abbotts performance than approve. If at first you dont succeed, try, try again. If ORourke is going to win higher office someday, it may have to happen sometime after 2022 if hes willing to keep trying. Abbott said that the legislators who left Texas will be arrested upon their return, while a number of prominent Republicans called for their Democratic colleagues to be stripped of their leadership roles. Incumbent Republican governor Greg Abbott won re-election to a third term, defeating Democratic nominee and former Congressman, Beto O'Rourke. Why Texass Abortion Law May Go Too Far For Most Americans Read more. Note that the partisan leans in this article were calculated before the 2018 elections; we havent calculated FiveThirtyEight partisan leans that incorporate the midterm results yet. On Monday, he announced his candidacy for Texas governor in 2022, which will mark the third straight election cycle in which hes made a bid for major office (he had a disappointing run in the 2020 Democratic presidential primary but came close to defeating Republican Sen. Ted Cruz in Texass 2018 Senate race). Her first international trip as vice president a visit to Guatemala and Mexico was also her first major gaffe. Bill Walker of Alaska, Bruce Rauner of Illinois, Jeff Colyer of Kansas and Scott Walker of Wisconsin. Meanwhile, Biden's once-dismal approval rating has risenthough he remains underwater, which could mitigate Democratic losses. He's constantly dodging attacks from the right. Mail Voting (44) But because New Hampshire is less Republican-leaning than Alabama (R+2 compared with R+27), Sununus standing is much more impressive which is why his PARG is 22 points higher than Iveys. ORourke has not led Abbott in a single public poll released in 2022. Texas : Governor Polls | FiveThirtyEight "The embarrassment is just going to keep growing over this," Laura Harth, the campaign director at Safeguard Defenders, told Newsweek. Iveys is +44, while Sununus is +41. Independent candidates in these two states are seeing enough support to include as an option on the map. In fact, there isnt much of a connection between a governors net approval rating and his states partisan lean.2 Although that might seem surprising given how dominant partisanship is these days, its really not all that shocking: The correlation between gubernatorial and federal election results has gotten stronger in recent years, but partisanship is still a better predictor of the latter than the former. Resuelve los ltimos Crucigramas de Mambrino, Juega a nuestros Sudoku para Expertos y mejora da a da tu nivel, Juega a las nuevas Sopas de letras clsicas y temticas de EL PAS.